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When analyzing whether a company is fairly valued from a PE ratio perspective, it’s important to assess more than just the absolute value of the ratio. The following framework provides a systematic approach to determine if the company is trading at a reasonable valuation:
A Company’s PE Ratio is Considered Fairly Valued When:
The Current PE Ratio is Below the Average or at the Low End of the Past 5 Years PE Range
This indicates that the stock might be undervalued compared to its historical valuation trends.
The Company’s Net Income is Increasing
Rising net income ensures that the company is not just cheaper because of declining profitability but is instead delivering consistent growth in earnings.
Preferably when the past Net Income growth rate + Dividend Yield is higher than current P/E ratio [1]
Not favourable when the current P/E ratio is higher than past Net Income growth rate + Dividend Yield multiply by 2 [1]
The Profit Margin is Increasing
An expanding profit margin suggests improved operational efficiency, pricing power, or reduced costs, further supporting sustainable earnings growth.
How to Find the PE Ratio Trend?
To assess a company’s PE ratio over the past 5 years:
Visit financecharts.com > Valuation Charts > Select PE Ratio > Adjust to a 5-year (or 3-year) period.
For companies that have only recently turned profitable, the 3-year period may provide more meaningful insights.
Examples of Companies That Fit the Framework
1. Fortinet (FTNT) – PE Ratio: 46x
✅ PE Ratio: Current PE is below the average line of the past 5 years.
✅ Net Income: Increasing consistently.
✅ Past Net Income Growth rate (52%) higher than current P/E ratio (46x)
✅ Profit Margin: Improving steadily.
2. Netflix (NFLX) – PE Ratio: 48x
✅ Net Income: Rising steadily.
✅ Past Net Income Growth rate (61%) higher than current P/E ratio (48x)
✅ Profit Margin: Increasing over time.
📌 Additional Note: Netflix’s management has outlined clear strategies to enhance profitability, such as increasing subscription prices, which could positively impact their bottom line.
3. MercadoLibre (MELI) – PE Ratio: 64x
✅ PE Ratio: Current PE is below the average of the past 3 years (5 years not usable).
✅ Net Income: Growing steadily.
however past year Net Income Growth of 46% is not higher than current PE ratio of 65x.
✅ Profit Margin: Gradually improving.
Examples of Companies That Don’t Fit the Framework
1. Apple (AAPL) – PE Ratio: 37x
❌ PE Ratio: Current PE is above the average line of the past 5 years.
❌ Net Income: Flat or declining.
❌ Profit Margin: Moving sideways, showing no improvement.
Notes on Limitations of this Method
This method is not as applicable to companies that are:
Not Yet Profitable: Without earnings, the PE ratio isn’t meaningful.
Just Turned Profitable: In such cases, it’s better to use the PS (Price-to-Sales) Ratio for valuation analysis.
📖 For more insights, read: Avoid Investing in Stocks with PS Ratios Above 18x When Stock is at All-Time High Level.
Final Thoughts
By combining the PE ratio trend with growth in net income and profit margins, you can form a more holistic view of whether a stock is trading at a fair valuation. This method is especially useful for investors focused on fundamentally strong companies that are still undervalued relative to their historical performance.
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